While Android will remain the dominant smartphone operating system in 2016, its market share will dip somewhat and second place will be occupied by Windows Phone, said a June 6 report from International Data Corporation (IDC).

Windows Phone will hold 19.2 percent of the global smartphone market in 2016, the report projects, compared with 5.2 percent in 2012. The report also predicts that Android market share will drop from 61 percent to 52.9 percent and iOS will decrease from 20.5 percent to 19 percent in the same period.

BlackBerry devices will hold mostly steady, going from 6 percent to 5.9 percent. Shipments of phones running Symbian, Nokia’s smartphone operating system, will “all but cease by 2014,” IDC projects. Some of Windows Phone’s growth is due to Nokia adopting it as a replacement for Symbian and “Nokia’s strength in key emerging markets.”

The worldwide mobile phone market as a whole is expected to grow 4 percent this year, more slowly than 2010 and 2011. Smartphone share will continue to grow 38.8 percent over 2011, while feature phones will decline by 10 percent. Feature phones will still hold 61.6 percent global market share.

In all, IDC expects 1.8 billion mobile phones to be shipped this year, 686 million of which will be smartphones. By 2016, 2.3 billion mobile phones will be shipped.

Chart: Worldwide Top 5 Smartphone OS Market Share Forecast, 1Q 2012Description: Tags: Author: IDC charts powered by iCharts


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